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Lectures, seminars and dissertations

* Dates within the next 7 days are marked by a star.

Matias Linnakoski (Aalto University)
Probabalistic Forecasting of PGA Tour Events (MSc thesis presentation)
* Thursday 09 July 2026,   13:15,   M3 (M234)
This thesis studies probabilistic modelling of PGA Tour stroke-play outcomes using historical round-level scores. The player skill-levels are modelled as a linear combi- nation of past performances, with greater weight placed on recent rounds while also retaining information from earlier observations. These ability estimates are combined with a residual scoring distribution to simulate tournament outcomes and estimate probabilities for making the cut and finishing in the top 20, top 10, and top 5. The model is evaluated by comparing predicted outcome probabilities with realised tournament outcomes. Extensions such as alternative weighting schemes, player- specific residual variance, weather adjustments, and course-related variables are also examined. The results suggest that most of the predictive signal is captured by field-strength-adjusted historical performances weighted toward recent rounds, while additional extensions provide only marginal improvements.

Prof. Timothy Trudgian (UNSW Canberra)
Division!
* Thursday 09 July 2026,   15:15,   M3 (M234)
Euclid’s algorithm for division allows us to divide two numbers, keep track of remainders, and recover GCDs. I will discuss other algebraic settings: some rings are known to be Euclidean (meaning they have this algorithm), some are known not to be; many are unknown. I will end with a summary of recent work done in this article that resolves completely the case of cyclic cubic fields: https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.05862
ANTA Seminar / Hollanti et al.

Prof. Guillermo Mantilla-Soler (U. Nacional de Colombia)
TBA
Tuesday 25 August 2026,   15:15,   M3 (M234)
ANTA Seminar / Hollanti et al.

Lorenzo Zacchini (Aalto University)
TBA (midterm review)
Wednesday 23 September 2026,   10:15,   M3 (M234)
Analysis seminar / Hytönen

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